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USD breakout, commodities plunging, and equities love ’junk’
USD and treasury yields pushing back against the melt-up
Is US data finally slowing down?
Careening toward a credit crunch?
Fed terminal rate hits new high. China recovery story stumbling?
Market holds breath as Tesla to report after sharp squeeze
Mixed signals ahead of US earnings blast
Another US CPI circus today. Tightening financial conditions?
Quarter end sprint for stocks. Historic moves in grains.
Massive week ahead. Pondering Adani contagion in EM.
2024 is heavy metals
SVB fallout: Nobody knows what will happen next
OPEC spoils the megacap party
Market celebrates Disney cost-cutting axe
What does a ”no landing” scenario look like?
Equities extend momentum led by energy
The disinflationary no landing nirvana?
Animal spirits or casino spirits?
A warning shot has been fired
The China reopening narrative tries to get back on the rails.
Debt ceiling crunch time. Geopolitical tectonics rumbling in the background.
Bank stocks bounce, broader market uninspired by relief
Crypto and Tesla bubbleverse under siege
Soft CPI revives risk rally, but treasury reaction creates dissonance.
A new market low, but we have yet to see a panic phase
Central bank pivot narrative may struggle for sustenance
Taiwan tensions and a possible market pivot
Are bonds and equities set to part ways?
US August CPI shocker delivers a hammer-blow
Can bears go into hibernation for the summer?
Market uncorks fresh rally on Powell’s weak push-back
Uncomfortable squeeze as earnings season rush kicks off
Bank of Japan in a corner, can’t avoid volatility
Fed set to push back against this market squeeze
Market complacency and the 2008 parallels.
Helmets on as yields pressure, stocks plunge
The China recovery narrative struggling
What can blast us out of this low vol rut?
This limbo unlikely to last as geopolitics weigh.
Zero Covid threat refuses to go away
When will we shift from one-dimensional focus on US yields?
The squeeze ran out of oxygen. Blitz of event risks into Friday.
Market limbo: The real driver behind performance
What rate cuts mean for bond markets
Tesla surges and Nike comes back in quiet week
As the commodity bull cycle becomes more selective, how does it impact equities?
What a French election upset means for the Euro
What an ECB rate cut may mean for equity markets
Nonfarm payroll shatters expectations - how will the Fed react?
It is rate cut week
Earnings season hits full stride after financials stumble
Fixed-income: How much higher can bond yields go?
Earnings season hits full stride after financials stumble
Market shrugs off oil spike, celebrates lower yields
A very calm surface hiding important developments?
Geopolitical risks crowd out all other considerations for now
Fixed-income: How much higher can bond yields go?
Special Edition: Generative AI Part 1: what it is and how and whether to gain exposure.
What shocks this market out of the 0DTE volatility dampener?
What shoe is this market waiting for to drop?
Tesla nothingburger and 4.0% 10-yr yield sets market on tilt
US yield plunge, risk off had nothing to do with FOMC
Market nerves fraying on US yield pressure. Big OpEx today.
Oops - that wasn’t supposed to happen post-debt ceiling.
Meta does a lead zeppelin act
The BoJ is not for turning.
BoJ losing control. Geopolitical risks for Tesla.
Special Edition: Saxo Outrageous Predictions for 2023
Yields jump back higher, curbing market enthusiasm
Equity markets mull a 4-handle on US 2-yr yield
Summer special: Are we heading towards a commodity supercycle?
Macro: earnings battle geopolitics and macro figures for centre-stage
Do any of the scenarios lead to tighter financial conditions?
Weak Chinese data jolt markets with fresh risk-off sentiment
Theme: How geopolitical uncertainty affects bond and commodities
The biggest earnings week is here
Harris wins debate, but FOMC trumps politics for now
Commodities: Crude’s artificial tightness, uranium and gold in focus
Theme: why you should pay attention to the US Quarterly Refunding Announcement
What a crazy summer
A big test for US dollar and market narrative on today’s US CPI
While we wait on Nvidia
Equities: What to expect in 2024?
Big moves all around, if not in implied volatility.
Market deflates with NVDA options premium. Beware new EU regulations!
Commodities: Why speculative interest is important for everyone
Special episode: Market reactions to Iran-Israel escalation
Theme: Quarterly Outlook special
Equities: Will this be the end of the magnificent seven?
Theme: Japan's route to abolish negative interest rates
Equities: Mike Tyson moment, Birkenstock IPO, Q3 earnings in focus
Germany July Manufacturing PMI sets up dovish ECB
What to expect from the earnings season
Fixed-income: A hawkish pause from ECB and attractive risk-reward in bonds
Macro & FX: Central bank meetings all over
Disinflationary daydreaming
What just happened to Nvidia?
Macro: When speech trump numbers
Summer special: What will be the geopolitical narrative after summer?
Commodities breaking up. Fed policy as cycle end looms.
Summer melt-down and now two election scenarios
Coffee hits record highs. Plus: an Outrageous Prediction from an esteemed listener.
Will US jobs report extend current momentum?
Our stagflation light call explained
Special episode: Market reactions to Iran-Israel escalation
Theme: Quarterly Outlook special
Listeners’ podcast - First Edition!
Equities: Will this be the end of the magnificent seven?
It’s been a narrow US equity market rally. Tesla is on tap.
Theme: Japan's route to abolish negative interest rates
Equities: Mike Tyson moment, Birkenstock IPO, Q3 earnings in focus
Risk off, BoJ Governor nominee, Adidas dump, SEK soars
Germany July Manufacturing PMI sets up dovish ECB
US UMich sentiment survey the worst of both worlds
What to expect from the earnings season
Stocks make fresh bullish bid on earnings. BoJ to take its sweet time.
Weekend Credit Suisse deal unsettles markets on debt wipeout.
Fixed-income: A hawkish pause from ECB and attractive risk-reward in bonds
Macro & FX: Central bank meetings all over
Catch 22 for the FOMC: market leans for a hike, but...
Disinflationary daydreaming
What just happened to Nvidia?
Macro: When speech trump numbers
Neither bulls nor bears have conviction here. Week ahead a big one for macro.
Mean reversion continues: sterling next?
Market pre-celebrating the Fed pivot. Is it too complacent?
Summer special: What will be the geopolitical narrative after summer?
Yellen statement on deposits spooks market, while Powell thoroughly ignored.
Commodities breaking up. Fed policy as cycle end looms.
Markets try to stabilize, but looking for next shoe to drop.
Fear not the Fed for now, concludes market
Summer melt-down and now two election scenarios
Coffee hits record highs. Plus: an Outrageous Prediction from an esteemed listener.
If market is right on Fed, the economy has to nosedive, and fast.
Debt ceiling soon solved? Careful what you wish for...
PBoC disappoints the market questioning stimulus pace
Will US jobs report extend current momentum?
Another 0DTE frenzy in wait on US CPI?
US PCE inflation data spikes yields, but US equities hold the line.
Our stagflation light call explained
Volatile week ahead on US CPI, FOMC meeting
US jobless claims, hawkish ECB halt the slide in yields
Metals are sending loud signals as US equities in limbo
Over-reacting to a single data point?
FOMC will have a hard time moving the needle today
2023 really starts today and tomorrow
Choose a direction, already...
Kuroda is not for turning, but will step down soon
Special Edition: Investors’ Wish List for 2023
Market shrugs off FOMC. Another agenda now?
Santa rally becomes the Santa rout
First weeks of a New Year often pivotal
Pump and dump on BoE, ECB dovishness, megacap earnings duds
Bank of Japan roils markets with a surprise policy tweak
Powell may protest to market expectations, but data in driver’s seat.
Beware risk of options tail wagging the market today.
Is the Bank of England the canary in the coal mine?
The desperation for the Fed pivot
Central bank bonanza this week topped by Wednesday FOMC
US mid-terms coming into view. Bring out the conspiracy theorists.
USD stumble adds to sentiment boost
Next week’s likely FOMC dot plot is not what the market is pricing
Bear markets have the most spectacular squeezes
Bears finally get a hook
Recession fears are pulling commodities and bond yields lower
USD and US yields brewing up trouble ahead of Jackson Hole
Going nuclear
FOMC will have a hard time moving the needle today
US equity market limping at pivotal levels after sell-off extends
Dark clouds are forming as equities extend declines
2023 really starts today and tomorrow
’Tis the season, or at least the day, to be jolly.
The unbearable tightness getting us closer to peak yields
Choose a direction, already...
Far more noise than signal here
Commodities rout points to recession fears
CPI print triggers historic day across markets
Markets taking a strong view that Fed will succeed
Kuroda is not for turning, but will step down soon
Special Edition: Investors’ Wish List for 2023
More resilient US data ahead of August jobs report
Will market be allowed to go into hibernation until 2023?
Guarded optimism on Ukrainian battlefield success
Choppy markets underline higher volatility risks
Back at the brink - do we go over?
Dovish ECB guidance deepens central bank pivot narrative
Market shrugs off FOMC. Another agenda now?
As risk sentiment rolls over, is crude oil set to rally?
Market still poking around for peak Fed
China protests are a powerful new distraction
Santa rally becomes the Santa rout
Don’t look now, here comes coal!
First weeks of a New Year often pivotal
Market rips into reverse. Evening star on Nasdaq 100.
Technically and seasonally pivotal week ahead
Pump and dump on BoE, ECB dovishness, megacap earnings duds
Financial conditions in the driver’s seat
Regime shift in volatility. EU NatGas woes mount.
US October jobs report next test for FOMC reaction
Eyeing quarter-end as next test for this market
Things are breaking
Yield plunge lifts equities out of the abyss
Bank of Japan roils markets with a surprise policy tweak
RBA hikes and inflation trades are back
Financial conditions continue to ease, ease, ease
EU’s nat-gas woes topple sentiment once again.
Powell may protest to market expectations, but data in driver’s seat.
Beware risk of options tail wagging the market today.
FOMC pump deflating fast. SNB beats ECB to the punch
Things are breaking
Yield plunge lifts equities out of the abyss
Worst day for equities yet. (Un?)stable coins on the radar.
Special Edition: Are we set for one of the great bear markets of the century?
Bank of Japan roils markets with a surprise policy tweak
RBA hikes and inflation trades are back
Financial conditions continue to ease, ease, ease
EU’s nat-gas woes topple sentiment once again.
Three days that could shake the world
Powell may protest to market expectations, but data in driver’s seat.
Beware risk of options tail wagging the market today.
2019: The Year in Review and a Look Ahead at 2020
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